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Is AGI near?

Risks

Drawn from Lutz Finger's Forbes column, LinkedIn writing, and Cornell teaching. Sources are cited inline so you can read the originals.

Lutz’s stance on the AGI timeline.

Both have been hot topics in AI, sparking both fear and excitement. Sam Altman predicted AGI would arrive in 2025, and Elon Musk 2026. Both are more about hype than reality. In 2025, there will be no AGI but large language models will find their “killer app.” What are AGI and the Singularity?

No AGI But A ‘Killer App’ — 2025 AI Prediction · Forbes

Unlike narrow AI, built for specific tasks, AGI can handle any intellectual task and adapt across different areas. Is AGI Near? No — at least not the AGI we imagine. Today’s AI works by recognizing patterns and making predictions — not by truly understanding.

Sam Altman Says, ‘We Know How To Build AGI’ — Not So Fast · Forbes


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