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What will actually happen with AI in 2025 instead of AGI?

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Drawn from Lutz Finger's Forbes column, LinkedIn writing, and Cornell teaching. Sources are cited inline so you can read the originals.

Narrow AI chains will excel at tasks without achieving AGI.

In 2025, we’ll see more narrow AI solutions integrated into chains similar to OpenAI’s o1 approach. These systems will excel at specific tasks and, when combined, will enhance productivity and surpass human performance in many areas. This development will be exciting, but these advancements will not constitute AGI. Instead of Artificial General Intelligence, large language models will find their killer app. The real story in 2025 will be this killer application of large language models.

No AGI But A ‘Killer App’ — 2025 AI Prediction · Forbes


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