Question 1

What is your perspective on AGI and when it might happen?

Accepted Answer

_AGI remains limited by data and lacks human agency for decisions._

AGI means artificial general intelligence, models that learn and develop capabilities by themselves, becoming vastly more intelligent than humans. But I disagree with this focus. AGI still has the data problem and only one type of prediction modeling, while humans have emotional prediction and other ways of understanding. Crucially, we humans have agency. We decide what data to clean, what to feed models, when to correct them. Models can't make those decisions themselves. I'm not against smarter models, but why not focus them on expert tasks like predicting climate change? I'm focused on using data and machine learning to improve things, not worried about some ominous AGI taking over.

— [A reality check on AI](https://www.lutzfinger.com/transcript/2024-07-10-a-reality-check-on-ai/) · _The Edge_

Question 2

What is your view on AGI and the current hype around achieving it soon?

Accepted Answer

_*AGI is a ghost story, not a roadmap for near-term investment*_

I assert that AGI is essentially a myth. I'm not saying it's theoretically impossible, but nothing in all the advancements of technology represent a concrete, clear step toward AGI. The distance between what is capable and what humans are is going to become increasingly clear. AGI is just another way of saying artificial human. It's a ghost story, the novel Mary Shelley would have written if she knew about algorithms. The false narrative that we're headed towards AGI, possibly within a few years or couple of decades, is part of the problem.

— [The Value Translation Gap: AI's Deployment Problem](https://www.lutzfinger.com/transcript/2024-11-28-the-value-translation-gap-ais-deployment-problem/) · _The Edge_

Q&A, agi

What is your perspective on AGI and when it might happen?

What is your view on AGI and the current hype around achieving it soon?